Kenilworth Kibitzer

A blog for members of the Kenilworth Chess Club.

Sunday, January 15, 2012

 

Rating the Contenders





Round 1 of the prestigious KCC Championship went 10-0 in favor of the higher rated players, proving once again that over a long enough timeline statistics are more valuable than invention, emotion, and the human spirit. From the leading group, here are a few to watch out for:










Mark Kernighan: (quiet guy on the left of the picture) Definitely the favorite. A common feeling from people playing Mark is 'I almost had him'. I've seen him slip out of bad positions with seconds on the clock (in Mark-speak, 'winning time' [my words not his]) often enough to know it's not a coincidence. 45% chance to win













Arthur Macaspac: The 2010 champion, who won the tournament after spotting the field a half point with a bye in the first round then cruising 4-0 to finish. This time he's in for al five rounds. A guy who sits next to GM Yudasin as much time as he does is bound to have learned a thing or two. Definitely a main contender. 35% chance to win













Mike Goeller: A welcome addition to the tournament. 'The Professor' is a strong attacking player and on his day can beat anyone. Although ironically in last year's event he took a draw with John Moldovan, breaking what had been a 2010-2011 streak of something like 50+ games in the club championship without a draw by any player. In his defense he may have been inebriated at the time. Actually he wasn't. 8% chance to win

Kevin Chen: The recently minted expert took a bye in round 1, can he replicate Arthur's 2010 run? Probably not, but a player with good chances to knock off one of the above players. 3% chance to win











Ian Mangion: 'The Doc' is undoubtedly the best spoken and most sartorially splendid member of the club. However, his path to the championship is paved with many pitfalls, including Lou 'Giant killer' Sturniolo, and a few players who are noticeably better than him. 2% chance to win

The Field: Lurking in the crowd are a few players who, with the right combination of circumstances, might be able to put together a winning run. Including Don 'Under 1900' Carrelli, John 'The Postman' Moldovan, and, despite his handicaps, Max 'The Kid' Sherer. 5% chance to win

Dark Horse Specials: Lou Sturniolo went on a tear in the Sy Fish memorial. Now there are even more overrated fogies to take down. Can he do it? Also, I'm predicting a breakout for Chris Constantino. Too many chances for him to pull an upset to miss out.

Predictions:

1st: Arthur Macaspac
2nd: Mark Kernighan
3rd: Kevin Chen

U2050: We give a prize for this??
U1800: John Moldovan
U1600: Dan Komunicky
U1400: Chris Constantino




Comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]



Links to this post:

Create a Link



<< Home

Archives

February 2009   March 2009   April 2009   May 2009   June 2009   July 2009   August 2009   September 2009   October 2009   November 2009   December 2009   January 2010   February 2010   March 2010   April 2010   May 2010   June 2010   July 2010   August 2010   September 2010   October 2010   November 2010   December 2010   January 2011   February 2011   March 2011   April 2011   May 2011   June 2011   January 2012   February 2012   March 2012   May 2012   July 2012   December 2012   January 2013   February 2013   July 2013   October 2013   March 2014  

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

Subscribe to Posts [Atom]